Probability: invaluable for the genealogist

In his latest blog post leading Irish genealogist John Grenham writes that

"Without some idea of how to measure the likelihood of what you’ve found, its place on the scale of probability, it’s very hard to interpret it."

Grenham illustrates with examples from his own experience. He's not (yet) at the stage of fully quantitative assessment, instead advocating a quick search to gain a rough and ready sense of how common name combinations are.

Read his article at https://goo.gl/zKiiRG